"(O)ur Space Shuttle cost estimates in The New York Times (see above) on March 22, 1993 — in 1992 dollars we estimated that the shuttle cost about $1.1 billion per launch, or $1.7 billion if we included development costs. That was 3-4x times higher than the costs that NASA represented to Congress.
Uh-oh.
So on the same day as the NYT article was published an official from NASA called me up in the graduate student bullpen where I had a desk. I remember it like it was yesterday. I thought initially, naively, he might be calling to congratulate me for the good policy work. He was not."

https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/against-mathiness?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=119454&post_id=140287602&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=myqls&utm_medium=email